Market Reflections

Thoughts, ideas and musings on current state and evolution of financial markets

How can you predict future from the past

Raymond | March 22, 2009

How can one develop a trading strategy based on past behavior of a market if the market changes? Good question. You can do it like the credit rating companies, fed, president’s office, IMF, … etc. by measuring arbitrary external characteristics (depth of downturn, job loss, factory utilization), comparing to the past recessions and arriving at [...]

Watch out for your “friends”

admin | March 9, 2009

“God help me with my friends, I can deal with my enemies myself.” Sounds familiar? While Americans generally have not considered government their friend, for most so far, it has not been an enemy either. Well’ perhaps this is the “change” we voted for! A journalist of a generally liberal newspaper has it much more [...]

Consistently Profitable Trading 2009 and Beyond

admin | March 1, 2009

High volatility and lower volumes continue from 2008. New president revealed his first budget with more than double deficits from previous years. He is promising to cut the deficit to half by the end of his term based on $1 – $1.6 Trillion (depending on interpretation) new taxes and 3.2% growth 2010, over 4% growth [...]